Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

Xavier lost at Villanova 80-68 to fall further out of contention for a NCAA Tournament bid. The Musketeers have seven regular season games left, six of which are against teams not in contention for the NCAA Tournament.

Who is on bubble for 2025 NCAA Tournament? Check out teams that have work to do, according to latest March Madness college basketball projections.

The NCAA Tournament selection committee will reveal its top 16 teams to this point on Sunday that will give a picture of the top of the bracket, but there are still many times battling to get off the bubble and into the field ahead of Selection Sunday on March 16.

Welcome to the 2025 debut of Bracketology Bubble Watch, the daily column wrapping up how NCAA Tournament bubble teams are trending and a look ahead at upcoming games involving teams near the cut line to make the field of 68.

FOX Sports national college basketball writer John Fanta reveals who's currently on the bubble ahead of March Madness.

Check out Palm's latest bracket, full field of 68 and Bubble Watch at the Bracketology hub All times ET 1 p.m. (CBS) This is the first of the "double-bubble" games on tap this Saturday. Both teams are coming mid-week losses The Longhorns lost at home to Arkansas on 78-70 on Wednesday to drop to 15-8 on the season,